Saturday, December 19, 2009

MODELS; FINANCIAL, CLIMATE, LINGERIE

I have been reading alot about climategate and it got me thinking about models, computer models that attempt to mimic reality and predict the future. if you look at the history of this activity, it is less than perfect, sometimes abysmally wrong.

many of the models used on wall street to manage risk, a seeming oxymoron, rate mortgage backed securiteis, etc. blew up, and contributed mightily to our recent financial melt down. i assure you however that all these firms are chastened and have gone back to the lab to build better models, which will likely be better but way not perfect.

now we have climate models. these arrogant, ideological pricks in east anglia believe their models are correct, or if not believe in the cause so much that they will cover up their flaws. now i happen to think modeling is good, but it is at best an approximation that needs to be tested and improved continuously. my gut is todays models are potentially as flawed and primitive as the ones used to give AAA bond ratings.

which leaves me with the only models beyond criticism. Victoria's Secret lingerie models!

5 comments:

Unknown said...

Had no idea you were so taken with V S models....... lets see what santa brings..........

Anonymous said...

Mark Levin's NY Times best-seller, Liberty and Tyranny, traces the roots of Global Warming, thru the 30s, 40s, 50s, etc. A fascinating read. Although the book is not devoted to this topic, it is so thorough that climategate is a total non-surprise. The great hoax. The "Go Green" movement is really the "Go Red" movement.

The whole Copenhagen convention was and will remain crap...just like the figures they and the Gorians made up.

litsag1 said...

Unfortunately VS models are fantasy, and so is santa.

Committment and respect go far beyond fantasy.

hohoho said...

i'm as hot as those but u still criticize me darlin!

bruce's blog said...

kathryn, i cant wait

mark,i dont know if there is warming or not but there is no excuse for the perversion of facts and science

litsang, i am all in favor of committment and respect. really just trying to make a joke with vs models. dont be too pc

hohoho, if youre so hot, send me a picture, how am i criticising you?

best

br