Friday, May 28, 2010

How to Plug the Oil Leak

BUMPER STICKERS

driving into work today i was behind a red pickup truck at a red light and i spied the following bumper stickers

i would still rather go hunting with dick cheney than driving with ted kennedy

married men dont live longer. it just feels longer

driver carries no cash. he is married

seems right to me

have a good memorial day weekend. do any of you know why its a holiday? it used to be called decoration day; a day to honor men and women who died in milatary service beginning with union soldiers after the civil war.

ps

a corollary to above; driver carries no cash. he was married!

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

FIRST THAILAND, NOW JAMAICA. WHERE TO GO ON VACATION?

its getting harder and harder to find a place to go on vacation. thailand is having a thai version of a civil war; jamaica has a death toll over 40 from the search for a drug lord who has enjoyed govt protection but know fleeing extradition, mexico doesnt seem too safe either. the lib-dems are boycotting arizona. wait. arent the lib-dems a UK political party?

dont these people know this is bad for tourism?

maybe we will see a rise in Staycations?

Friday, May 21, 2010

WHY CITIES AND STATES SHOULD NOT HAVE FOREIGN POLICIES

it is bad enough that countries have foreign policies; its absurd for states and cities to have such.

recently Arizona passed an immigration bill out of desparate reaction to facts on the ground and from what i can tell is a highly flawed bill that is practically non-enforceable. maybe it will stimulate the federal government to improve the situation.

in the mean time, the state of california, which is broke, has said they want to boycott arizona. arizona responded quite rationally; that they are thinking of cutting of power sales to california which represents something like 40% of our needs. you cant build power generation in california because we are Green, forcing us to buy from out of state. talk about the emperors newe clothes.

then we have san diego. they also want to boycott arizona. well it turns out that something like 2 million people from arizona come to san diego on vacation in the summer when it is really hot in arizona. well guess what? this number will decline and room rates in san diego have declined going into the crucial summer months.

a sharp new york friend of mine was taking his kids and grandkids on vacation in san diego and is still planning to do so but is saving on his hotel bill due to the lower rates. he could give a shit about arizonas law he just wants to go on vacation

its amazing we have survived as a species

Thursday, May 20, 2010

Plugging Africa's Leak By: Karly Curcio

Plugging Africa's Leak

Moving  money in Somaliland. CC Flickr photo by guuleed.Foreign aid programs continue to pour funds into what seems like Africa’s bottomless bucket. Illicit financial flows out of Africa are twice the amount of foreign aid into the region. Between 1970 and 2008, according to a study by Global Financial Integrity (GFI), illicit flows from Africa totaled at least $854 billion, and could reach as high as $1.8 trillion when taking into account missing data from certain countries and other conduits of illicit flows not captured in the study.

Although $1.8 trillion is already an incredible volume of illicit outflows, the actual figure could be higher still. This figure grows if we account for untraceable money generated by smuggling, violations of intellectual property rights, trade in narcotics and other contraband goods, human trafficking, sex trade, and other illegal activities.

Illicit flows have been a consistent and crippling problem in African countries. The GFI study found that illicit funds from the continent continued to ratchet upwards every decade since the 1970s, at an average rate of 12 percent per year. In fact, Africa is a net creditor to the world — it “gives” back to the world through illicit capital flight at least twice, and in some regions thrice, the amount of capital it receives in external assistance. No wonder, then, that this staggering loss of capital seriously hampers Africa’s efforts at poverty alleviation and economic development, decade after decade.

Complicity of Banks

Traditional policy interpretations of “capital flight” do appropriately account for the debilitating effects of the money leaving these countries — money that these countries desperately need to build economic and political foundations. But this antiquated approach does not recognize that banking institutions in the developed world facilitate the absorption of illicit funds.

Illicit flows must be curtailed through a two-pronged approach, which recognizes that both developing and developed countries must do their part in addressing the problem. While developing countries, like those in Africa, currently lack the governance and transparency to effectively regulate and control these outflows, equally at fault are the jurisdictions — mostly developed countries and their Western banking institutions — that not only absorb these illicit funds without hindrance, but actually solicit them through “private investment” banking services. Emerging markets need to implement sound economic policies and improve governance. But developed countries also need to ensure that the financial institutions that absorb these flows are subject to stricter oversight and operate in a more transparent manner.

The drivers of illicit financial flows vary from country to country, but overall transparency in the global financial system would significantly curtail all forms of outflows, by making it harder for tax cheats and other corrupt individuals to siphon off funds from the country. If retained by the region, the astonishing $854 billion estimated to have flown out of Africa would be enough to not only wipe out Africa’s total outstanding external debt of around $250 billion (as of December 2008), but it would also provide around $600 billion for poverty alleviation and economic growth.

Development aid to Africa won’t be effective as long as these illicit outflows continue to grow. Sub-Saharan African countries experienced the bulk of illicit capital leaving the continent, with the West and Central African region registering the largest outflows. The top five countries with the highest outflows were: Nigeria ($240.7 billion), Egypt ($131.3 billion), South Africa ($76.4 billion), Morocco ($41.0 billion), and Algeria ($35.1 billion). Estimates indicate that Africa lost around $29 billion per year from 1970-2008, of which the sub-Saharan region accounted for $22 billion. On average, countries like Nigeria that export oil lost capital at nearly $10 billion per year, far outstripping the $2.5 billion per year lost by the group of countries exporting non-fuel primary commodities. Indeed, these numbers indicate that much of the wealth generated by oil-exporting African countries does not trickle down sufficiently to benefit the nation’s population.

In developing countries that do not or are unable to implement genuine economic reform and better governance, economic growth brings more opportunities for individuals to accumulate illegal wealth and transfer that wealth abroad. In periods where illicit outflows accelerated, oil prices increased, and so did opportunities to mis-invoice trade. In fact, two methods often used to siphon money away from legal and traceable markets involve the under-invoicing and over-invoicing of exports and imports, respectively.

Fixing a Broken Model

The current development paradigm isn’t working. Poverty rates continue to stagnate and even rise, and countries such as Somalia, Sudan, and Zimbabwe continue to struggle as failed states. In fact, the political and economic foundations that typically underlie stable and prosperous countries are absent in most African countries. According to the UN Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), $348 billion is needed to meet the goals by 2010 and $529 billion by 2015. If illicit financial flows are not curtailed, Africa and its donors won't be able to meet these goals.

Policy measures must be taken to address the factors underlying illicit outflows and also to impress upon the G-20 the need for better transparency and tighter oversight of the international banks and offshore financial centers that absorb these funds. Global Financial Integrity recently launched the G20 Transparency Campaign to enable people around the world to take action on the problem of illicit financial flows. When the G20 meets in Canada this June, this problem must be at the top of the agenda.

Reform of this shadow financial system through greater transparency is in the best interest of not only African countries seeking economic growth, but also the interests of developed countries. Curtailing illicit flows would improve the effectiveness of aid and help graduate African countries from aid dependence to a path of sustained economic development.

Wednesday, May 19, 2010

DONT TRUST IRAN

when was the last time turkey and brazil were responsible for a groundbreaking diplomatic breakthrough? do you really think that solving the risk of a nuclear iran is going to be the first time?

the iranian government is smart, clever, and evil.

dont buy this as a solution

Thursday, May 6, 2010

16 BILLION OR MILLION? E-MINIS?

Wall street must have a death wish. apparently there is an index option called an e-mini that some yutz at maybe citibank put in an order to sell $16 billion instead of $16 million and then the black box trading robots kicked in and the market went down 900 points with stocks like P&G going from $60 to 40; before recovering to only down 500 points.

main street would like to fry all theie ass's before something like this happened.

come on guys, get your shit together!

GOOD AND BAD ASSASSINATIONS?

the world has been lambasting Israel for assassinating a known bomb making bad guy. it was a clean hit with no collateral damage. the US, Britain, dubai etc are wringing their hands and getting their knickers in a twitter.

at the same time, the US, using drones, is bombing the shit out of taliban, al quaeda operatives in afganistan and pakistan with lots of collateral damage; like women and children.

now i have nothing against killing bad guys. i just think it is outrageous but typical hypocrisy to lambaste israel when we are doing the same thing in spades. somehow killing someone face to face is worse than pushing a button in nevada and blowing up people in waziristan