certain things seem to go on forever and people therefore conclude they will continue to go on forever. expect they don't. look at the soviet union. who would have thought. then poof. iran, romania, now tunisia. poof. and the tiniest thing can light the fuse. an impoverished vegetable seller gets busted for selling without a license, then immolates himself, literally lighting the fuse and poof the government is toppled.
egypt is next. the people will not step down, the government will crack down, there will be blood in the streets. what will america do? what will europe do? dont hold your breath on europe
under the banner of realpolitik we tend to back authoritarian regimes that sort of do our bidding. clearly not a moral policy, often not an effective policy.
Mubarak is old and sick and will go one way or another. we should weigh in and help el baradei and the egyptian people create a democracy. there needs to be an alternative between corrupt autocrats and corrupt religious fanatics
POOF!
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I wonder if a pattern will play out across the middle east, first egypt, then ?
I completely agree, especially about immoral, short-sighted realpolitik. Imagine if we had supported nascent democracy in Iran instead of bringing back the Shah.
my arab friends believe it will play out in north africa and then the middle east.
however, i don't see true democracy as islam does not separate church and state, it is both, and islamic laws will always prevail.
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